Template:DropTest/Into His Own Hands/3

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Mission tested: Into His Own Hands Epic
By: Tygra Dax, Koba44, R'nali & inorlive (+1 more)
Date(s): July 2016
Runs: 32   Cost/Run: 22 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Super Rare Database (Panel) ★★★★ 4>>

Super Rare Database (Panel) ★★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 8

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 6 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 19 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 37 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 36 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 14,000 runs or so.

176.0Statistical Strength: Nearly useless

Range of average cost per
Super Rare Database (Panel) ★★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

88.71 — 11057.96
>>
8
Super Rare Isolinear Chips ★★★★ 2>>Unable to display streak info due to insufficient sample size. 352.0Statistical Strength: Nearly useless

Range of average cost per
Super Rare Isolinear Chips ★★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

146.26 — Infinity
>>
16
Rare Incense ★★★ 37>>

Rare Incense ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 4 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 3 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 17 runs or so.

19Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Incense ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

15.11 — 25.68
>>
0.9
Rare Clothing Pattern ★★★ 12>>

Rare Clothing Pattern ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 3

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 2 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 6 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 12 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 11 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 510 runs or so.

58.7Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Clothing Pattern ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

38.02 — 128.34
>>
2.7
Uncommon Casing ★★ 41>>

Uncommon Casing ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 3 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 2 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 13 runs or so.

17.2Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Casing ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

13.87 — 22.52
>>
0.8
Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.

Warning 2: Above results flagged as preliminary due to small sample size.