Template:DropTest/Ishka Issues/3

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Mission tested: Ishka Issues Epic
By: SleepingDragon, 84wb, Crunch & Loulybob (+ more)
Date(s): Mar 2017 – January 2018
Runs: 540   Cost/Run: 18 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Super Rare Polyalloy ★★★★ 59>>

Super Rare Polyalloy ★★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 10

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 7 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 21 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 42 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 41 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 21,000 runs or so.

164.8Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Super Rare Polyalloy ★★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

131.2 — 221.33
>>
9.2
Rare Polyalloy ★★★ 325>>

Rare Polyalloy ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 2 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 120 runs or so.

29.9Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Polyalloy ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

27.21 — 33.2
>>
1.7
Uncommon Casing ★★ 577>>

Uncommon Casing ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 4 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 3 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 22 runs or so.

16.9Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Casing ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

15.79 — 18.05
>>
0.9
Uncommon Microconnector ★★ 659>>

Uncommon Microconnector ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 3 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 2 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 15 runs or so.

14.8Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Microconnector ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

13.91 — 15.69
>>
0.8

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.

Several drop rates and item drops got adjusted on 2017/03/15. As this DropTest is likely affected, old data has been removed or commented out.
The old costs/unit were: 147.9, 261.7, 36.6, 15.3, and 15.8.