Template:DropTest/Proof of Concept/3

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Mission tested: Proof of Concept Epic
By: Iknamur, Terfin, Biolectra & koba44 (+2 more)
Date(s): May 2017 — Sept 2019
Runs: 497   Cost/Run: 22 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Basic Medical Scanner (Logical) 298>>

Basic Medical Scanner (Logical)

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 2 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 130 runs or so.

36.7Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Medical Scanner (Logical)
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

33.24 — 40.93
>>
1.7
Super Rare Casing ★★★★ 83>>

Super Rare Casing ★★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 6

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 5 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 14 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 27 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 26 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 5,800 runs or so.

131.7Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Super Rare Casing ★★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

108.57 — 167.47
>>
6
Rare Relay ★★★ 386>>

Rare Relay ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 3 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 6 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 5 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 58 runs or so.

28.3Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Relay ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

26.04 — 31.05
>>
1.3
Basic Casing 724>>

Basic Casing

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 3 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 2 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 8.7 runs or so.

15.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Casing
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

14.34 — 15.95
>>
0.7

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.

Drops changed in v1.8.0 on 2017-03-15. At this time, uncertain that the Medical Scanner is correct one (there are two with same name and icon); please update if incorrect.