Template:DropTest/A Popular Item/2

Mission tested: A Popular Item [edit]
By: Captain deMarco, TheGambit, Koba44 & Chapey (+ more) Date(s): Jun 2016 – Feb 2020 Runs: 769   Cost/Run: 10
Item	Units	/ unit	Runs/Drop
Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★	63>> Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★ Average (mean) runs per drop: 13 Based on test averages, to get one more drop, you may need to do another: 9 runs in 50 percent of cases (median) 28 runs in 10 percent of cases 56 runs in 1 percent of cases That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item drop at all even after 55 runs. Also, a run dropping only this item is expected per 49,000 runs or so.	122.1Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable Range of average cost per Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★ within 2 standard deviations (~95.5% confidence): 97.76 — 162.44>>	12.2
Rare Subprocessor ★★★	75>> Rare Subprocessor ★★★ Average (mean) runs per drop: 11 Based on test averages, to get one more drop, you may need to do another: 7 runs in 50 percent of cases (median) 24 runs in 10 percent of cases 47 runs in 1 percent of cases That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item drop at all even after 46 runs. Also, a run dropping only this item is expected per 29,000 runs or so.	102.5Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable Range of average cost per Rare Subprocessor ★★★ within 2 standard deviations (~95.5% confidence): 83.55 — 132.68>>	10.3
Uncommon Polyalloy ★★	136>> Uncommon Polyalloy ★★ Average (mean) runs per drop: 6 Based on test averages, to get one more drop, you may need to do another: 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median) 13 runs in 10 percent of cases 26 runs in 1 percent of cases That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item drop at all even after 25 runs. Also, a run dropping only this item is expected per 4,900 runs or so.	56.5Statistical Strength: Very reliable Range of average cost per Uncommon Polyalloy ★★ within 2 standard deviations (~95.5% confidence): 48.48 — 67.83>>	5.7
Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★	137>> Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★ Average (mean) runs per drop: 6 Based on test averages, to get one more drop, you may need to do another: 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median) 13 runs in 10 percent of cases 26 runs in 1 percent of cases That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item drop at all even after 25 runs. Also, a run dropping only this item is expected per 4,800 runs or so.	56.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable Range of average cost per Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★ within 2 standard deviations (~95.5% confidence): 48.15 — 67.28>>	5.6
Common Casing ★	1896>> Common Casing ★ Average (mean) runs per drop: 1 Based on test averages, to get one more drop, you may need to do another: 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median) 1 runs in 10 percent of cases 1 runs in 1 percent of cases That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item drop at all even after 0 runs. Also, a run dropping only this item is expected per 1.8 runs or so.	4.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable Range of average cost per Common Casing ★ within 2 standard deviations (~95.5% confidence): 3.98 — 4.14>>	0.4
Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run. Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.    Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.