Template:DropTest/A Popular Item/2

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Mission tested: A Popular Item Elite
By: Captain deMarco, TheGambit, Koba44 & Chapey (+ more)
Date(s): Jun 2016 – Feb 2020
Runs: 769   Cost/Run: 10 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★ 63>>

Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 13

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 9 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 28 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 56 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 55 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 49,000 runs or so.

122.1Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Astrometric Chart ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

97.76 — 162.44
>>
12.2
Rare Subprocessor ★★★ 75>>

Rare Subprocessor ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 11

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 7 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 24 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 47 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 46 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 29,000 runs or so.

102.5Statistical Strength: Fairly reliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Subprocessor ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

83.55 — 132.68
>>
10.3
Uncommon Polyalloy ★★ 136>>

Uncommon Polyalloy ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 6

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 13 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 26 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 25 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 4,900 runs or so.

56.5Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Polyalloy ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

48.48 — 67.83
>>
5.7
Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★ 137>>

Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 6

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 13 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 26 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 25 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 4,800 runs or so.

56.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Synthesized Polymer ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

48.15 — 67.28
>>
5.6
Common Casing 1896>>

Common Casing

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 1 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 1 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 0 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 1.8 runs or so.

4.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Common Casing
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

3.98 — 4.14
>>
0.4

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.