Template:DropTest/Down Once More/3

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Mission tested: Down Once More Epic
By: Crunch, benignreality, Octarolakh & WaldoMag (+2 more)
Date(s): August 2016 – August 2017
Runs: 15   Cost/Run: 1 Tickets
Item Units Tickets / unit Runs/Drop
Uncommon Kali-fal ★★ 9>>

Uncommon Kali-fal ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 2 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 130 runs or so.

1.7Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Kali-fal ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

1.04 — 4.2
>>
1.7
Uncommon Scalpel ★★ 11>>

Uncommon Scalpel ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 3 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 6 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 5 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 68 runs or so.

1.4Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Scalpel ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

0.89 — 2.9
>>
1.4
Basic Bloodwine 10>>

Basic Bloodwine

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 91 runs or so.

1.5Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Bloodwine
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

0.96 — 3.44
>>
1.5
Basic Mass Spectrometer 15>>

Basic Mass Spectrometer

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 4 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 3 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 27 runs or so.

1.0Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Mass Spectrometer
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

0.7 — 1.74
>>
1

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.