Template:DropTest/On Their Heels/2

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Mission tested: On Their Heels Elite
By: Elfmang, Crunch, iantimmy123 & R'nali (+ more)
Date(s): June 2016 – Feb 2019
Runs: 4736   Cost/Run: 6 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Common Tulaberry Wine 737>>

Common Tulaberry Wine

Average (mean) runs per drop: 7

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 5 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 15 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 29 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 28 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 7,200 runs or so.

38.6Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Common Tulaberry Wine
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

35.98 — 41.54
>>
6.4
Basic Phaser Type 3 (TNG) 3468>>

Basic Phaser Type 3 (TNG)

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 3 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 6 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 5 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 69 runs or so.

8.2Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Phaser Type 3 (TNG)
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

7.96 — 8.44
>>
1.4
Basic Submicron Scanner 3528>>

Basic Submicron Scanner

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 3 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 6 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 5 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 65 runs or so.

8.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Submicron Scanner
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

7.83 — 8.3
>>
1.3
Common Synthesized Polymer 2819>>

Common Synthesized Polymer

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 2 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 130 runs or so.

10.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Common Synthesized Polymer
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

9.75 — 10.43
>>
1.7
Basic Spices 3656>>

Basic Spices

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 3 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 6 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 5 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 59 runs or so.

7.8Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Spices
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

7.56 — 8
>>
1.3

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.