Template:DropTest/Operation Isolate/1

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Mission tested: Operation Isolate Normal
By: Chapey, Bechtd, Marco & Siguard (+ more)
Date(s): Aug 2016 – July 2020
Runs: 2557   Cost/Run: 12 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Val Jean Schematic (x3) 1725>>

Val Jean Schematic

Average (mean) runs per x3 drop: 5

Based on test averages, to get one more x3 drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 3 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 10 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 20 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 19 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 2,400 runs or so.

17.8Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Val Jean Schematic
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

16.47 — 19.34
>>
1.5
Basic Science Experiment 522>>

Basic Science Experiment

Average (mean) runs per drop: 5

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 11 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 22 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 21 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 3,200 runs or so.

58.8Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Science Experiment
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

54.2 — 64.21
>>
4.9
Rare Alcohol ★★★ 533>>

Rare Alcohol ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 5

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 4 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 11 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 22 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 21 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 3,000 runs or so.

57.6Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Alcohol ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

53.13 — 62.82
>>
4.8
Common Optronic Circuit 2987>>

Common Optronic Circuit

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 4 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 3 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 17 runs or so.

10.3Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Common Optronic Circuit
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

9.99 — 10.57
>>
0.9
Basic Spices 3054>>

Basic Spices

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 2 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 4 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 3 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 16 runs or so.

10.1Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Basic Spices
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

9.77 — 10.34
>>
0.8

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.

Each "standard reward" of Val Jean schematics above provides 3 Schematics.