Template:DropTest/The Annihilation Syndrome/1

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Mission tested: The Annihilation Syndrome Normal
By: Trojanneil, Species 8471, CMO Zoidberg & middlehead
Date(s): Mar 2017 – June 2020
Runs: 275   Cost/Run: 14 Chroniton
Item Units Chroniton / unit Runs/Drop
Rare Starfleet Uniform Pattern ★★★ 14>>

Rare Starfleet Uniform Pattern ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 20

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 14 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 45 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 90 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 89 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 200,000 runs or so.

275.0Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Starfleet Uniform Pattern ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

179.7 — 585.47
>>
19.6
Rare Polyalloy ★★★ 17>>

Rare Polyalloy ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 17

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 12 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 37 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 74 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 73 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 110,000 runs or so.

226.5Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Polyalloy ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

152.99 — 435.8
>>
16.2
Rare Synthesized Polymer ★★★ 17>>

Rare Synthesized Polymer ★★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 17

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 12 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 37 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 74 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 73 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 110,000 runs or so.

226.5Statistical Strength: Somewhat unreliable

Range of average cost per
Rare Synthesized Polymer ★★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

152.99 — 435.8
>>
16.2
Uncommon Furs ★★ 175>>

Uncommon Furs ★★

Average (mean) runs per drop: 2

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 4 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 7 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 6 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 100 runs or so.

22.0Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Uncommon Furs ★★
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

19.4 — 25.41
>>
1.6
Common Polyalloy 602>>

Common Polyalloy

Average (mean) runs per drop: 1

Based on test averages, to get one more drop,
you may need to do another:

  • 1 runs in 50 percent of cases (median)
  • 1 runs in 10 percent of cases
  • 2 runs in 1 percent of cases

That is, 1 in 100 players may not see this item
drop at all even after 1 runs.

Also, a run dropping only this item is expected
per 2.6 runs or so.

6.4Statistical Strength: Very reliable

Range of average cost per
Common Polyalloy
within 2 standard deviations
(~95.5% confidence):

6.14 — 6.68
>>
0.5

Average cost per unit assumes 3 standard rewards per run.

Please Do NOT include results from "Double-Up" Adwarps.
   Double-Up results are not random and will skew results.

Several drop rates and item drops got adjusted on 2017/03/15. As this DropTest is likely affected, old data has been removed or commented out.
The old costs/unit were: 371.0 (unreliable), 185.5 (unreliable), 212.0 (unreliable), 28.0, 6.0.